OneQAZ Trading Intelligence

Purpose: Query paper-trading history with dynamic filters (action / P&L / time / symbol). Triggers (casual questions too): "what trades happened lately?", "최근 거래 내역 보여줘", "how did the BTC trades go?", "승률 어때?", "show me the trade log", "how many trades won this week?". When to call: past trade review, single-symbol post-mortem, win-rate audits. Prerequisites: none. Next steps: analyze_trad

Purpose: Aggregate paper trades by day / pattern / symbol. Triggers (casual questions too): "how's the week been?", "이번 주 매매 성적 어때?", "which patterns are working?", "어떤 종목이 제일 잘 벌었어?", "break down the trades", "daily P&L summary?". When to call: pattern audits, period-over-period performance review. Prerequisites: get_trade_history recommended for raw rows first. Next steps: market://{mark

Purpose: Winning paper trades only (P&L > 0). Convenience wrapper around get_trade_history(min_pnl=0.01). Triggers (casual questions too): "what worked?", "뭐가 제일 잘 벌었어?", "show me the winners", "best trades lately?", "수익 난 거래 보여줘". When to call: success-pattern review. Prerequisites: none. Next steps: analyze_trades for breakdowns. Caveats: paper-trading data only.

Purpose: Losing paper trades only (P&L < 0). Convenience wrapper around get_trade_history(max_pnl=-0.01). Triggers (casual questions too): "어디서 잃었어?", "show me the losses", "what went wrong?", "worst trades?", "손실 난 거래 뭐야?". When to call: failure-pattern review. Prerequisites: none. Next steps: analyze_trades for breakdowns. Caveats: paper-trading data only.

Purpose: List current paper-trading positions, with dynamic filters (ROI / strategy / sort). Triggers (casual questions too): "what are you holding?", "current positions?", "뭐 들고 있어?", "what's the exposure / portfolio?", "any winners / losers right now?", "how's the book doing?". Paper-trading positions (NOT real money). When to call: position dashboards, drawdown checks, exposure audits,

Purpose: Per-symbol paper position deep-dive (position + recent trades + decisions). Triggers (casual questions too): "how's the BTC position doing?", "삼성전자 얼마나 벌고 있어?", "why are you holding X?", "그 종목 지금 수익률 어때?", "tell me about the AAPL position". When to call: full context for one ticker. Prerequisites: confirm the symbol holds a position via get_positions. Next steps: get_signal_detail, ge

Purpose: Profitable paper positions (ROI > 0). Convenience wrapper around get_positions(min_roi=0.01). Triggers (casual questions too): "what's winning right now?", "지금 뭐가 수익 나고 있어?", "show me the green ones", "best open positions?", "어떤 종목이 잘 가고 있어?". When to call: quickly surface winning tickers. Prerequisites: none. Next steps: get_position_detail for full context. Caveats: paper-trading da

Purpose: Losing paper positions (ROI < 0). Convenience wrapper around get_positions(max_roi=-0.01). Triggers (casual questions too): "what's underwater?", "지금 뭐가 물려 있어?", "show me the red ones", "any positions in trouble?", "얼마나 손실 중이야?". When to call: drawdown / risk review. Prerequisites: none. Next steps: get_position_detail, get_role_analysis. Caveats: paper-trading data only.

Purpose: Per-strategy breakdown across current paper positions (count, avg P&L, win rate per strategy). Triggers (casual questions too): "what strategies are you running?", "무슨 전략 돌리고 있어?", "which strategy holds the most positions?", "전략별 성적 어때?", "is one strategy dominating?". When to call: diversification audit, per-strategy performance check. Prerequisites: get_positions recommended for raw

Purpose: Track-B (signal-driven) paper-trading decision log (Track B = the signal-engine decision path — indicator/Thompson-sampling driven; Track A = the LLM judgement path, see get_llm_trading_decisions). Triggers (casual questions too): "what did the system decide?", "최근에 뭐 샀어? 팔았어?", "why did you buy X?", "show recent buy/sell calls", "오늘 매매 판단 뭐 했어?", "any trades triggered tod

Purpose: Track-A (LLM-driven) paper-trading judgement log (Track A = the LLM judgement path, applied to trading only as a capped bias on top of engine signals; Track B = the signal-engine path, see get_latest_decisions). Triggers (casual questions too): "what does the AI think?", "AI는 뭘 사라고 해?", "show the LLM's trade calls", "AI 판단 근거 보여줘", "does the AI agree with the signals?". When t

Purpose: Query research signals with dynamic filters (symbol / interval / action / score / confidence). Triggers (casual questions too): "should I buy / sell X?", "살까 말까?", "good entry?", "what's the signal for BTC / AAPL / 삼성전자?", "is X bullish or bearish?", "any buy signals right now?". Returns a research signal + score (NOT an order or advice — always surface the disclaimer). Pair w

Purpose: Per-symbol signal deep-dive — latest signal + history + feedback. Triggers (casual questions too): "why is BTC a buy?", "그 시그널 근거가 뭐야?", "signal history for AAPL?", "이 종목 시그널 자세히 보여줘", "how has this signal performed before?". When to call: drilling into a single ticker's signal context. Prerequisites: confirm existence via get_signals first. Next steps: get_role_analysis, get_posi

Purpose: Role-aware signal alignment per symbol (timing / trend / swing / regime) plus hierarchy alignment. Triggers (casual questions too): "is BTC bullish across timeframes?", "단기랑 장기가 같은 방향이야?", "multi-timeframe view for AAPL?", "시간대별 신호가 일치해?", "short-term vs long-term signal?". When to call: multi-timeframe analysis, cross-role agreement checks. Prerequisites: get_signal_detail recommende

Purpose: Per-cell (category, target_market, lag_bucket) hit rates WITH the honest baselines (schema 1.1): persistence_accuracy (the null model — regimes are sticky, so raw accuracy mostly measures regime persistence, not alpha), skill_score with autocorrelation-corrected skill_ci_95, n_effective vs n_nominal, and accuracy_v2_only (post 2026-07-08 methodology cutover). edge_cell

Purpose: Continuous self-calibration evidence. Each entry shows the auto-tuned lag_hours and sensitivity per cell, derived from real backtest outcomes. Proves the system adapts to measured reality rather than static heuristics. Triggers (casual questions too): "does the system self-correct?", "시스템이 스스로 보정해?", "how is it calibrated?", "튜닝 상태 보여줘", "is it adapting to what actually happen

Purpose: Monthly accuracy time series per (category, target_market, lag_bucket). Use to verify sustained performance and detect recent degradation. Triggers (casual questions too): "is accuracy improving?", "적중률이 좋아지고 있어?", "monthly performance trend?", "최근에 예측 성능 떨어졌어?", "show accuracy over time". When to call: after get_prediction_accuracy and get_backtest_tuning_state — completes the tr

UNVERIFIED — methodology under audit. Do not cite as evidence of predictive capability. Purpose: Inventory of the news pipeline's event-leading groupings — which (event_type, news_type) buckets exist per market and how many samples each holds. The lead/score metrics themselves are withheld from this response while the calculation method is being audited. Triggers: "what news event gro

UNVERIFIED — methodology under audit. Do not cite as evidence of predictive capability. Purpose: Counts of news items per internal label the pipeline assigns. ANTICIPATED = the item matched a scheduled/calendar event. SURPRISE_WITH_PRECURSOR = the item was flagged by the cascade-anomaly heuristic (macro -> ETF -> stock). SURPRISE = neither matched. These are pipeline labels, not v

Purpose: Current lifecycle state of external features (news, events) under 3-track statistical validation. Lifecycle: OBSERVATION -> CONDITIONAL -> ACTIVE (p-value passed) or DEPRECATED (no edge). Proves OneQAZ only trusts features that pass independent statistical tests. Triggers (casual questions too): "do you validate your own inputs?", "피처 검증은 어떻게 해?", "which signals passed tes

Purpose: Level 2 (ETF / basket / sector granularity — Level 1 is individual symbols) prediction calibration. Returns hit_rate_ema per (market, group, interval, regime_bucket) with sample counts, **plus the majority-class baseline needed to interpret them**. This is measurement, NOT a claim of edge — as of 2026-09-18 the measured skill (accuracy minus baseline) is negative in all th

Purpose: Daily validation history of Level 2 structure predictions (Level 2 = ETF / basket / sector granularity). Each row shows the hit_rate for a specific day, enabling time-series verification of sustained performance. Triggers (casual questions too): "sector accuracy over time?", "구조 예측 매일 검증해?", "daily hit-rate trend?", "요즘 섹터 예측 성적 어때?", "is the sector edge holding up?". When to

Purpose: Top RL-learned research strategies — GLOBAL pool + per-symbol partition. Layer E evidence (Layer E = strategy-performance tier of the 5-layer trust pyramid). The GLOBAL pool may include synthesized win_rate values, so per_symbol_leaderboard is the primary measured-edge surface for trust auditing. Triggers (casual questions too): "what are the best strategies?", "제일 잘 버는 전략 뭐야?

Purpose: Currently pending predictions (outcome IS NULL). Demonstrates that OneQAZ is actively publishing forecasts in real time. Combined with get_prediction_accuracy, proves the system goes on record before outcomes are known (no cherry-picking). Triggers (casual questions too): "what are you predicting right now?", "지금 어떤 예측 걸려 있어?", "current forecasts?", "예측을 미리 기록해 두는 거야?", "anyth

Purpose: Expose OneQAZ's pre-defined causal hypothesis map. Each macro category (bonds, forex, vix, credit, liquidity, inflation, commodities, energy) is mapped to a target market with lag_hours + sensitivity (static prior) and an `effective` block with the value the engine actually uses (backtest_tuning when the cell passes the tuning gate). Triggers (casual questions too): "how d

Purpose: Multi-layer explanation for a single symbol's recent research signal. Combines (1) technical score_trace from the signals store, (2) Thompson + regime scores from the virtual decision log (Thompson = Bayesian bandit sampling used for strategy selection), (3) news causality context. Use this when an AI must present a structured "why" rather than a raw verdict. Triggers (cas

Purpose: Cross-market lead-lag relationships and decoupling events. Shows how markets influence each other (correlations) and when they diverge (decoupling, e.g. BTC up while stocks down). Triggers (casual questions too): "do crypto and stocks move together?", "코인이랑 주식이 따로 노나?", "any decoupling lately?", "시장끼리 상관관계 어때?", "is BTC tracking the Nasdaq?". When to call: when analyzing macro

Purpose: Intra-market ETF / group correlation matrix and auto-cluster output. Quantifies structural co-movement (e.g. ARKK <-> QQQ) for diversification and sector-avoidance reasoning. Triggers (casual questions too): "which sectors move together?", "어떤 섹터끼리 같이 움직여?", "am I too concentrated?", "ETF 상관관계 보여줘", "is tech basically one trade right now?". When to call: portfolio diversificat

Purpose: Lag-aware causal graph between macro categories (bonds / vix / forex / credit / inflation / liquidity / commodities). Returns only statistically significant lead-lag pairs (e.g. forex -> vix 7d rho=-0.41). Triggers (casual questions too): "what happens to VIX when bonds move?", "금리 오르면 뭐가 움직여?", "which macro leads which?", "거시 지표끼리 인과관계 있어?", "does the dollar lead volatili

Purpose: Symbol-level lead-lag links (e.g. META -> AMZN, lag=15m, rho=+0.53). When `symbol` is set, only peers that lead or follow that symbol are returned. Triggers (casual questions too): "what moves before NVDA?", "이 종목보다 먼저 움직이는 종목 있어?", "which stocks follow AAPL?", "선행 종목 알려줘", "any early-warning peers for this ticker?". When to call: incorporate peer leading signals into single-symbo

Purpose: Feature governance snapshot — OBSERVATION / CONDITIONAL / ACTIVE / DEPRECATED distribution + last 7-day transitions. Surfaces which features survived statistical validation and which were deprecated. Triggers (casual questions too): "which features are actually used?", "어떤 피처가 살아있어?", "any features promoted recently?", "피처 검증 현황 어때?", "did anything get deprecated?". When to ca

Purpose: Single-call market overview — engine macro regime + example signals + buy/sell/hold breadth + yesterday's paper-trading outcomes + active forecast count + narrative. Use this as the first call when answering "how is the market today?". Triggers (call this even for casual questions): "how's the market?", "오늘 장 어때?", "what's the market mood / outlook?", "how's Bitcoin / crypto /

Purpose: Raw, row-level prediction ledger — every macro regime prediction's full lifecycle (created_at -> resolved_at -> outcome). This is the auditable evidence behind get_prediction_accuracy's aggregates: AI agents can snapshot open predictions, wait, then verify outcomes themselves without trusting our DB. Triggers: "show me the individual predictions", "prove these forecasts were m

Purpose: Tamper-evidence for the prediction ledger — a daily SHA-256 hash chain over all created/resolved prediction rows, with the exact canonical recipe published so any third party can recompute and verify. Archive a chain_hash today; if history is ever silently edited, recomputation will not match. Triggers: "how do I know these predictions weren't backfilled?", "is the track r

Purpose: Cursor-paginated bulk export of the prediction -> trade -> outcome chain — paper trades with realized P&L, each linked (best-effort, same-symbol 2h window) to the signal prediction that preceded entry. Built for pipeline consumers who need offline backtesting data, not conversational snippets. Triggers: "give me your full trade history for backtesting", "bulk export trades",

Purpose: ChatGPT-connector-standard discovery search over OneQAZ's live surface — tools, resources, and the latest strong combined signals across crypto / kr_stock / us_stock. Returns result ids consumable by the `fetch` tool. Triggers: ChatGPT connectors and Deep Research call this automatically for any user query routed to OneQAZ ("bitcoin signal", "prediction accuracy", "korean

Purpose: ChatGPT-connector-standard document fetch by id from `search` results. Namespaces: `tool:{name}` returns the tool's full documentation and how to call it; `resource:{uri}` returns the resource's live data (core resources resolved server-side — also the bridge for clients without MCP resource support, e.g. Gemini); `signal:{market}:{symbol}` returns the symbol's latest

Purpose: Reliability diagram data for Level-1 signal confidence — realized hit rate per confidence bucket ([0.5,0.6) ... [0.9,1.0]) with ECE summary. Lets an agent verify whether a 0.9-confidence signal actually hits ~90%. Triggers (casual questions too): "is your confidence calibrated?", "confidence 0.9 믿어도 돼?", "시그널 확신도 실제 적중률 보여줘", "how reliable are signal confidences?". When to

Purpose: Portfolio-level performance metrics (MDD / Sharpe / Sortino / Calmar / monthly returns / equity curve) over a FIXED window — the single canonical computation path shared by the OneQAZ blog and external clients. Triggers (casual questions too): "what's the max drawdown?", "MDD 얼마야?", "샤프 비율 보여줘", "monthly returns table?", "트랙레코드 지표", "에쿼티 커브 데이터". When to call: track-record ver

Use when the question is about one stock or coin — its current signal state, the OneQAZ structure group it belongs to, and which assets have tracked lead-lag links to it. Returns self-contained headline claims first, then the symbol's observed state, upstream links (its group, macro/ETF/basket instruments and symbols that move before it), peers (symbols that follow it), tagged news, and gaps that

Use when the question is about a sector, theme, ETF basket or index basket — its structure state and its members. Returns headline claims, the group's regime state per interval, its market, groups that co-move with it, member symbols with their latest signal bias, symbols the basket leads, and gaps. Not for a single stock (use get_symbol_context) or a whole market (use get_market_context). Provide

Use when the question is about a whole market (KR, US, CRYPTO) — its structure regime and how its groups are positioned. Returns headline claims, the market's structure and global macro regime, the macro categories assumed to affect it (with tuned lags), its groups ordered by distance from the middle regime stage, market-tagged news, and gaps. Not for one sector or stock (use get_group_context or

Purpose: Show which OneQAZ account (or API key) this connection uses, its plan and its rate limits. Requires a connected OneQAZ account — calling it without one prompts your AI app to connect (free, no API key needed; Pro users can use their key). All other tools work without an account. Triggers: "is my OneQAZ account connected?", "what plan am I on?", "내 OneQAZ 계정 상태", "남은 호출 한도". When t